With an average of more than 15 named storms, and about five hurricanes that could reach Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, the current Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than expected, as it did today.
According to the latest mid-term annual update from the U.S. Office of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, environmental and ocean conditions are favorable for a few months of hurricanes exceeding estimates.
Added to this is a possible return of the La Niña phenomenon in the coming days, according to the report of the aforementioned entity that belongs to the Division of the Meteorological Service in the North American country.
The latest forecast reflects that the number of expected storms (winds greater than 60 km/h) range from 15 to 21, including about seven to 10 hurricanes (winds of 100 km/h or more), of which between three and five have the potential Reach Class 3.
“After a record start in May, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of abating as it enters the next peak months,” said Rick Spinrad, director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration office.
The team for this entity indicates that the probability of being above normal in this period is 65 percent, compared to 25 for being “almost normal” and 10 for being below average.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s 2021 outlook update covers the entire six-month hurricane season, which ends November 30.
Their predictions were not about the arrival of these phenomena on Earth, because this process can be predicted only about a week after the arrival of a possible storm on the coasts of some regions.
Although the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1, tropical cyclones have formed in the past five years before the start date.
In 2020, so-called Arthur & Perry got their name in May, and the same thing happened with Anna, the first subtropical storm of the current Atlantic hurricane season.
After Anna, the list of 21 named events continues with Bill, Claudette, Danny, all the way to Elsa, the first hurricane of the year in the Caribbean and the fifth oldest named storm on record in the Atlantic.
He will be next to appear under the names Fred, Grace, Henry, Ida, Julian, and Kate.
If the list expands, as forecasts suggest, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, and Wanda will arrive.
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