Holidays in the North: Tourism in Galicia will increase by up to 3% due to the climate crisis, according to the European Union

The fourth heat wave that shook the country since last Sunday will be bid farewell to Friday, according to the forecasts of the Government Meteorological Authority (Emmet), with the arrival of an Atlantic front accompanied by Storm Betty that will cause a significant drop in temperatures – temperatures, especially in the northern region of the country. During these days, record temperatures were recorded throughout the country. An example of this can be found in Ourense, where The mercury reached 43 degrees in Villamartín de Valdeoras. In addition to the effects on health or daily routines, the warming caused by the climate crisis is also causing changes in the models of some economic sectors, such as tourism.

the study The regional impact of climate change on European tourist demand affiliate Joint Research Center (JRC)The think tank advising the European Commission reveals how rising temperatures could affect European tourist flows. in this line, The report proposes four different scenarios: two levels of temperature rise in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement (1.5°C and 2°C), and two more extreme levels (3°C and 4°C).

In all of these regions, Galicia will be among the areas where tourism demand will increase due to the rising temperatures. Specifically, it will grow by 0.5% for scenario 1.5, 1.2% for scenario two, 2.5% for scenario three, and 3.2% for scenario four. Only data for the Galician community will be improved Emirate Asturias And Cantabriawhich will be the community in which it will experience the greatest growth.

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On the other side of the scale, there are eight communities (Murcia, Balearic Islands, Valencian Community, Community of Madrid, Andalusia, Extremadura, Castilla-La Mancha and Catalonia) that will be affected by lower tourism demand.

European direction

The Spanish case does no more than Follow the pattern that is being repeated across the European Union. “We found a clear north-south pattern, with tourism demand increasing in the central and northern regions and decreasing demand in the southern regions. The most significant impact of climate change on tourism demand is expected in coastal regions, for example a decrease of -9.12% in the Ionian Islands. Greek and +15.93% increase in West Wales (UK.UK) in the higher emissions scenario,” the report explains.

Source: Report on the Regional Impact of Climate Change on European Tourism Demand from the Joint Research Center (JRC)

On the other side, The study also ignores the possibility of seasonal variation. Thus, coastal regions in northern Europe are expected to “significant increase in demand during the summer months and early fall,” while southern regions are expected to “lose tourists during the summer, particularly in warmer climate scenarios.”

“The largest increase in tourism activity across Europe is expected in April, with an estimated increase of +8.89% compared to the current situation in the 4°C scenario. On the other hand, the largest decline in European tourism demand is expected in July, It ranges from -0.06% in the 1.5°C scenario to -5.72% in the warmer climate scenario.”

Flights canceled due to extreme temperatures

The climate crisis and global warming mean, in many cases, a break with the holiday ideal. The high temperatures meant that in many cases, part of the plans could not be implemented, which is what led to this Insurance companies and tour operators include coverage that offers the possibility of canceling their trips at the last minute Because of possible heat waves in destinations in southern Europe such as Spain, Italy or Greece.

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The American Insurance Company was one of the first companies to offer this possibility sensitive weather, which already offers UK customers the ability to get a refund if the thermometers exceed the temperature limit. As the company’s CEO noted at the beginning of August, Nick KavanaughThese limits will be generated depending on the destination and the time of year. He pointed out as an indicative example that 50% of the daily holiday amount can be returned if it reaches 35 degrees and 100% if it exceeds 40 degrees.

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