Lula could win the election in the first round: he is 20 points behind Bolsonaro

Former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a significant lead of about 20 points over the incumbent, Jair Bolsonaro, which will allow him to win the October 2 elections in the first round, according to an opinion poll. The poll, compiled by the Datafolha Institute, gives the Labor Party (PT) candidate 47% of voting intentions compared to 28% for the far-right leader.

In this way, the advantage of the former progressive governor (2003-2010) remains practically stable and is now 19 points compared to 21 in the previous May poll, which gave Lula 48% and Bolsonaro 27%.

However, if 7% of the null and invalid votes indicated by Datafolha are disqualified and electoral justice does not take into account the final calculation, Lula will win the first round of the election with 53% of the opposition vote. to 32% from Bolsonaro, reinforcing the scenario expected last May. The poll, which has a two-point margin of error, on the other hand, underscores the strong polarization between Lula and Bolsonaro, as no other candidate comes close to the leading candidates. In third place is Labor leader Cerro Gomez with 8% support (7% in May), behind him is a string of centre-right candidates running between 1% and 2% including Senator Simon Tibet, from . Brazilian Democratic Movement. The poll was conducted between Wednesday and Thursday from 2,556 face-to-face interviews in 181 cities in the country.

On the other hand, Bolsonaro has joined a new controversy since he criticized the abortion that was finally allowed by the Brazilian judiciary for an 11-year-old girl who has since been raped, according to him, “It does not matter how it is conceived or if he protects her or not.” . Law “.

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Bolsonaro highlighted that the fetus was already 29 weeks old, so “it is unacceptable to talk about killing this defenseless organism,” however, the 11-year-old girl who was raped was not aware of the pregnancy until week 22 and after the media echoed The media, his message on Twitter, Bolsonaro accused them of trying to persuade them to collude with what happened, stressing that what he cares about is the suffering of the minor.

“Because I see the suffering of the victims and the cowardice of the rapists, I have always fought for harsher punishments for this crime, including chemical castration (…). For us, both the 11-year-old and the 7-month-old are two lives to be preserved (…). …) Snatching an innocent life (…) does not heal wounds or do justice,” Bolsonaro assessed in a series of letters that culminated in the photograph of a nearly seven-month-old baby. On Wednesday, the minor was finally able to have an abortion in a hospital in Santa Catarina, after the same center in May requested the family to obtain judicial authorization as stipulated in the protocols of the Ministry of Health when the pregnancy exceeded 20 weeks.

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